
\begin{table}
\caption{Models of support for closing congress or the court. Support for the incumbent is measured as identification with the incumbent president’s party}
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{l c c c c}
\hline
 & Model 1 & Model 2 & Model 3 & Model 4 \\
\hline
Populist Discourse                   & $0.23^{**}$   & $0.29^{**}$   & $-0.04$       & $-0.03$       \\
                                     & $(0.10)$      & $(0.12)$      & $(0.16)$      & $(0.19)$      \\
Populist Speech x Incumbent Partisan & $0.13$        & $0.09$        & $0.29^{**}$   & $0.24^{*}$    \\
                                     & $(0.12)$      & $(0.12)$      & $(0.12)$      & $(0.14)$      \\
Populist Speech x Non-Partisan       &               & $-0.08$       &               & $-0.01$       \\
                                     &               & $(0.08)$      &               & $(0.10)$      \\
Support for Democracy                & $-0.06^{***}$ & $-0.06^{***}$ & $-0.08^{***}$ & $-0.08^{***}$ \\
                                     & $(0.01)$      & $(0.01)$      & $(0.01)$      & $(0.01)$      \\
Satisfaction with Democracy          & $0.03^{***}$  & $0.03^{***}$  & $0.17^{***}$  & $0.17^{***}$  \\
                                     & $(0.01)$      & $(0.01)$      & $(0.02)$      & $(0.02)$      \\
Education                            & $-0.03^{***}$ & $-0.03^{***}$ & $-0.05^{***}$ & $-0.05^{***}$ \\
                                     & $(0.00)$      & $(0.00)$      & $(0.00)$      & $(0.00)$      \\
Wealth                               & $-0.15^{***}$ & $-0.15^{***}$ & $-0.42^{***}$ & $-0.45^{***}$ \\
                                     & $(0.05)$      & $(0.05)$      & $(0.08)$      & $(0.08)$      \\
Rural                                & $-0.13^{***}$ & $-0.13^{***}$ & $-0.11^{***}$ & $-0.11^{***}$ \\
                                     & $(0.02)$      & $(0.02)$      & $(0.03)$      & $(0.03)$      \\
Female                               & $-0.18^{***}$ & $-0.18^{***}$ & $-0.12^{***}$ & $-0.12^{***}$ \\
                                     & $(0.02)$      & $(0.02)$      & $(0.03)$      & $(0.03)$      \\
Interpersonal Trust                  & $-0.07^{***}$ & $-0.07^{***}$ & $-0.07^{***}$ & $-0.07^{***}$ \\
                                     & $(0.01)$      & $(0.01)$      & $(0.01)$      & $(0.01)$      \\
Neighborhood Safe                    & $-0.04^{***}$ & $-0.04^{***}$ & $-0.05^{***}$ & $-0.04^{***}$ \\
                                     & $(0.01)$      & $(0.01)$      & $(0.01)$      & $(0.01)$      \\
Economic Evaluation                  & $0.06^{***}$  & $0.06^{***}$  & $0.13^{***}$  & $0.11^{***}$  \\
                                     & $(0.02)$      & $(0.02)$      & $(0.02)$      & $(0.02)$      \\
Legislative Control                  & $-0.38^{*}$   & $-0.38^{*}$   & $-0.01$       & $0.01$        \\
                                     & $(0.20)$      & $(0.20)$      & $(0.36)$      & $(0.37)$      \\
Mass Polarization                    & $0.71$        & $0.71$        & $0.23$        & $0.23$        \\
                                     & $(0.49)$      & $(0.49)$      & $(0.75)$      & $(0.81)$      \\
Mass Support for Democracy           & $-0.69^{***}$ & $-0.69^{***}$ & $-0.39^{**}$  & $-0.38^{**}$  \\
                                     & $(0.11)$      & $(0.11)$      & $(0.18)$      & $(0.19)$      \\
\hline
AIC                                  & $82802.16$    & $82803.23$    & $39657.20$    & $39660.25$    \\
Log Likelihood                       & $-41370.08$   & $-41369.62$   & $-19799.60$   & $-19800.13$   \\
Num. obs.                            & $93617$       & $93617$       & $50101$       & $50101$       \\
Num. groups: country:year            & $85$          & $85$          & $50$          & $50$          \\
Num. groups: country                 & $18$          & $18$          & $18$          & $18$          \\
Var: country:year (Intercept)        & $0.04$        & $0.04$        & $0.06$        & $0.06$        \\
Var: country (Intercept)             & $0.05$        & $0.05$        & $0.07$        & $0.07$        \\
Var: country pid\_winner             & $0.04$        & $0.04$        & $0.05$        & $0.04$        \\
Var: country non\_partisan           & $0.02$        & $0.02$        & $0.02$        & $0.02$        \\
\hline
\multicolumn{5}{l}{\scriptsize{$^{***}p<0.01$; $^{**}p<0.05$; $^{*}p<0.1$}}
\end{tabular}
\label{tab:si_models_pid}
\end{center}
\end{table}
